Breaking News: US Election Could Bring Unprecedented Scenario Not Seen in Nearly 40 Years

In this year’s election, neither candidate may secure victory across all three battleground states—Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—according to a prediction by a Republican pollster.
In an interview with Fox Business on October 24, pollster Mitchell Brown predicted that in this year’s U.S. presidential election, neither Republican candidate Donald Trump nor Democratic candidate Kamala Harris would win all three key states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—a scenario not seen since 1988.

In the 1988 election, Republican candidate Vice President George H.W. Bush won Michigan and Pennsylvania, while Democratic candidate Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis took Wisconsin.

According to Brown, former President Trump could gain an edge in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada but is unlikely to win all three of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

“If you look at 2016, Trump won all three of those states, while President Joe Biden won them all in the 2020 election. What I’m seeing here is that neither candidate is likely to capture all three states. This means Trump would only need to win one of these three to secure victory,” Brown explained.

The winner of these states often secures the presidency, with the notable exception of Democratic candidate Al Gore, who won all three but lost the 2000 election to George W. Bush.

“I still believe Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are the two states most likely to lean toward Trump, but if voter turnout is maximized, Trump could potentially win all three battleground states,” the Republican pollster said.

Pennsylvania remains a critical battleground in this year’s election, with Harris and Trump competing for the state’s 19 electoral votes. Pennsylvania has more electoral votes than any other swing state, and it could be pivotal in deciding the election’s outcome.

In 2016, Trump narrowly defeated Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania. However, in the 2020 election, President Joe Biden managed to turn the state blue.

Most polls in Pennsylvania show a tight margin between the candidates, making the outcome highly unpredictable.

Harris’s clearest path to victory would be to win the three “Blue Wall” battleground states and avoid severe losses elsewhere. Meanwhile, Trump’s most effective path to at least 270 electoral votes is to secure wins in North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.

In Wisconsin, a poll by The Hill shows Trump narrowly leading Harris, with results at 48.5% to 48.1%. Meanwhile, according to The New York Times, Harris leads Trump by one percentage point.

In Michigan, the race is also extremely close, with the support gap between the two candidates ranging from only 0.1 to 1 percentage point.